Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059012 0.069012 0.080156 0.093492 0.109016 0.126515 0.147742
2025-09-21 0.042006 0.054587 0.070106 0.090644 0.117105 0.150054 0.194218
2025-09-28 0.032072 0.045193 0.062687 0.087694 0.122510 0.169274 0.236903
2025-10-05 0.027057 0.040746 0.060203 0.089827 0.133769 0.196552 0.293152
2025-10-12 0.023051 0.036772 0.057382 0.090520 0.142441 0.220682 0.347661
2025-10-19 0.019903 0.033429 0.054774 0.090807 0.150085 0.243748 0.403142
2025-10-26 0.017633 0.031039 0.053167 0.092217 0.159367 0.270132 0.466917
2025-11-02 0.016023 0.029456 0.052566 0.095050 0.171149 0.301741 0.543114
2025-11-09 0.013750 0.026337 0.048858 0.091891 0.172003 0.314713 0.588511
2025-11-16 0.012253 0.024392 0.046925 0.091572 0.177743 0.336704 0.652510
2025-11-23 0.010908 0.022526 0.044861 0.090665 0.182154 0.356609 0.714853
2025-11-30 0.010053 0.021496 0.044233 0.092406 0.191793 0.387332 0.801600
2025-12-07 0.008988 0.019901 0.042322 0.091406 0.196022 0.408409 0.872686
2025-12-14 0.007934 0.018180 0.039926 0.089081 0.197230 0.423617 0.933836
2025-12-21 0.006982 0.016538 0.037468 0.086268 0.196984 0.435699 0.989796
2025-12-28 0.006533 0.015968 0.037260 0.088383 0.207792 0.472554 1.104480
2026-01-04 0.006027 0.015190 0.036477 0.089069 0.215429 0.503315 1.209273
2026-01-11 0.005549 0.014408 0.035579 0.089352 0.222139 0.532738 1.314620
2026-01-18 0.005187 0.013862 0.035164 0.090740 0.231657 0.569748 1.442619
2026-01-25 0.004935 0.013560 0.035307 0.093528 0.244969 0.617313 1.602322
2026-02-01 0.004403 0.012441 0.033248 0.090419 0.242979 0.627387 1.669409
2026-02-08 0.004061 0.011788 0.032306 0.090105 0.248181 0.655981 1.787611
2026-02-15 0.003728 0.011109 0.031204 0.089213 0.251730 0.680758 1.898886